Trump's approval stays at 37% as U.S. reaches tentative Iran agreement – eciks.org
President Donald Trump’s approval rating holds steady at 37% in the latest poll released Friday, unchanged from May despite his administration signing a memorandum of understanding with Iran this week to end the nearly four-month conflict that has dominated his second term.
The AP-NORC poll, conducted June 11-17 among 3,040 U.S. adults, found Trump’s overall approval unchanged from the previous month, according to Forbes. His approval rating on his handling of the Iran war also remained flat at 34%, showing the Iran deal has not yet shifted public sentiment on the conflict or the president’s broader job performance.
Trump signed the 14-point agreement with Iran on June 17 at the Palace of Versailles, marking a major diplomatic reversal after launching military strikes against Iran on February 28. The memorandum of understanding commits both sides to a 60-day period to reach a final deal and includes provisions for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, lifting sanctions, and establishing a reconstruction fund for Iran, according to reporting from CNN, NPR, and CBS News.
Yet the deal has failed to boost the president’s standing with the public. More than half of Americans surveyed—53%—said U.S. military action against Iran has gone too far, a six-point decrease from March when the war began, according to the AP-NORC poll cited by Forbes. The war itself remains deeply unpopular: a Nate Silver polling average found just 38% of Americans support the Iran conflict, while 56% oppose it.
Economic concerns appear to be a larger drag on Trump’s approval than foreign policy. Only one-third of Americans approve of his handling of the economy, a historic low that falls three points below former President Joe Biden’s worst economic approval rating, according to NPR reporting from June 18. Trump’s approval on inflation stands at just 22%, and his rating on cost of living—a top voter concern—has remained stuck in the low 20s throughout his second term, the Forbes timeline shows.
Trump began his second term in January 2025 with a 52% approval rating. The sharp decline coincided with his announcement of tariffs in April and accelerated after the Iran war began in late February, when his approval was around 40%. The conflict drove gas prices up 50% and intensified voter anxiety about the economy, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling cited in Forbes’ comprehensive timeline.
The stagnation at 37% reflects a president whose approval has settled into a new floor despite major foreign policy moves. With midterm elections in November, Democrats have opened a 9-point advantage on the generic congressional ballot, according to Emerson polling from May, as voters prioritize economic performance and cost-of-living concerns over diplomatic breakthroughs.
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Jonathan K. Fields covers US politics, elections, Congress, and White House policy decisions. He explains how American public policy affects the economy, markets, and global stability.
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