Trump impeachment update; See 2026 midterm election polls, predictions – Delawareonline.com
President Donald Trump warned Republicans they need to win the midterms or “I’ll get impeached.” Here’s when and what to know about the 2026 midterm elections, predictions, odds and who’s winning in the polls.
Despite mounting calls for his impeachment and lower approval ratings, Trump told Fox Business this week “We have the hottest country in the world. I guess we have to sell that because we should win in a landslide and we’ll do everything we can to do it,” when asked about GOP success going into the November midterm elections.
The president continues to highlight the importance of this year’s midterms, where all 435 district seats in the House and 35 seats in the Senate are up for election. Republicans maintain a slight majority in both chambers at this time, but midterm cycles don’t typically favor the sitting president’s party.
A Democratic win in the House would give them control of one of the congressional branches in government and make it harder for Trump to pass his agenda, such as likely push back on Republican cuts in social spending or requiring more deals when it comes time to raise the debt ceiling — or pushing for impeachment.
During a House GOP retreat Trump said “You got to win the midterms because if we don’t win the midterms, it’s just going to be — I mean, they’ll find a reason to impeach me. I’ll get impeached.”
Trump was impeached twice during his first term, the first in 2019 over his dealings with Ukraine and the second at the end of his term over accusations of him inciting the Capitol attack on Jan. 6, 2021. He was acquitted in the Senate both times and therefore there was not vote to bar him from holding office again.
Impeachment requires a majority vote in the House to approve charges against a government official for treason, bribery or other serious abuse of power or misconduct, and then a two-thirds majority in the Senate to convict and remove the official from office.
While Trump is not currently being impeached, there are discussions and proposed House resolutions for a third impeachment effort introduced, such as the most recent H. Res. 939 on Dec. 10, 2025. It was tabled by a vote of 237-140.
Impeachment requires a majority vote in the House to approve charges against a government official for treason, bribery or other serious abuse of power or misconduct, and then a two-thirds majority in the Senate to convict and remove the official from office.
A third impeachment would likely face significant political barriers due to the current Republican-controlled House and Senate.
According to the Polymarket, betting odds show a 13% chance that Trump will be impeached by end of 2026. Meanwhile Kalshi betting odds show a 7% chance he’ll be impeached by Jun. 1, 2026; 15% chance by Jan. 1, 2027 and 62% chance by Jan. 1, 2028.
The midterm elections are Tuesday, Nov. 3, 2026.
According to the latest Economist/YouGov poll on Feb. 9, 39% said they’d vote for a Democratic Party candidate, 31% said Republican, and 30% said other, not sure or no vote if midterms were held today.
In the Polymarket betting odds on who will win the 2026 midterms, 46% favor a Republican win for the Senate and Democratic win for the House. Currently, the Republican party controls both the Senate and the House.
Note: Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers reflect polling and odds as of 1:30 p.m. Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2026.
Maria Francis is a Pennsylvania-based journalist with the Mid-Atlantic Connect Team
