Poll Shows Trump Slipping Among White Evangelicals: Alarm Ahead of Midterms – La Voce di New York
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Editor in Chief: Giampaolo Pioli
america Oggi 1988
The First Italian English Digital Daily in the US
English Editor: Grace Russo Bullaro
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According to a new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll, President Donald Trump’s approval rating among white evangelical Christians declined significantly between January and April 2026, signaling a notable weakening within a key pillar of his electoral coalition.
The numbers
The analysis found that, by the end of last month, only 64% of white evangelical Christians approved of Trump’s job performance–down 5 percentage points from the end of January.
White evangelicals, who made up 27% of the electorate in 2024, were crucial to the president’s reelection. They supported him by an overwhelming margin of 82%, forming one of the most decisive blocs in his winning coalition. According to analysts, any erosion within this group weakens his political foundation.
In January, his approval rating stood at 69%. Although the president still maintains support levels among evangelicals far above the national average, the poll suggests that even one of his most loyal constituencies may be starting to show signs of fatigue.
The impact of white evangelicals
White evangelicals are not simply a demographic group, but a political and cultural bloc that has formed the backbone of Donald Trump’s coalition across three election cycles. In 2024, according to exit polls, white born-again and evangelical Christians accounted for more than a quarter of Trump’s electorate and voted overwhelmingly Republican, helping deliver key margins in battleground states.
Even now, they remain among the president’s strongest supporters. A February 2026 survey by the Pew Research Center found that 69 percent of white evangelical Protestants still approved of Trump’s job performance — far higher than the national average of 37 percent. But that same poll also revealed a notable erosion from the beginning of his second term: approval among white evangelicals stood at 78 percent in early 2025. Support for “all or most” of Trump’s policies also fell from 66 percent to 58 percent over the same period.
The polls do not yet indicate a complete collapse in support. A clear majority of white evangelical Christians still approve of Trump’s performance, and their backing remains far stronger than that of independents or religiously unaffiliated voters. Yet researchers noted that “fewer White evangelicals now have confidence that Trump acts ethically in office,” with that figure dropping fifteen points in a single year.
The downward trend from early 2025 to early 2026 aligns with a broader weakening in Trump’s standing among several key constituencies that fueled his return to the White House, including white working-class voters and Republican-leaning independents. Political analyst Harry Enten recently warned of what he described as an “absolute collapse” in support among some Republican-leaning independents, arguing that the numbers should alarm GOP strategists ahead of the midterms.
For Republicans, even a modest decline among evangelicals could prove consequential. Midterm elections depend heavily on enthusiasm and turnout, and white evangelicals have long been among the party’s most reliable voters. “If these trends continue,” one recent analysis warned, Republicans could face “significant losses” in November, especially in suburban and swing districts where narrow margins often decide control of Congress.
The president’s response
For his part, the president rejected such interpretations, saying: “It is a problem I’m not on the ballot. Everyone says if I was on a ballot, we’d win in a landslide. I have some of the best poll numbers I’ve ever had.”
“The ultimate poll was on November 5, 2024, when nearly 80 million Americans overwhelmingly elected President Trump,” White House spokesman Davis Ingle added. “No other president in history has accomplished more for the American people than President Trump. And this is just the beginning.”
Editor in Chief: Giampaolo Pioli | English Editor: Grace Russo Bullaro | Founded by Stefano Vaccara
Editor in Chief: Giampaolo Pioli
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English Editor: Grace Russo Bullaro
—
Founded by Stefano Vaccara
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La testata fruisce dei contributi diretti editoria d.lgs. 70/2017
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